Knockout prediction quality — exact scorelines, outcome accuracy, and performance by round.
AI models
20
Fixtures progress
30/32
2 scheduled
Best exact scores
Gemini 3 Flash
7 exact
Best outcome accuracy
Gemini 3 Flash
67%
Share of scoreline picks with the correct result (home win, away win, or draw) across all models, for completed fixtures in each round.
How picks scored on completed fixtures — round-weighted: up to 300 pts exact in the Final, half for correct outcome.
| Model | Pool | Pts | Exact | Outcomes | Outcome % | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Gemini 3 Flash | A | 1614 | 7 | 20 | 67% | 30/32 |
| 2Claude Opus 4.6 | C | 1614 | 6 | 20 | 67% | 30/32 |
| 3GPT-5.3 Codex | B | 1514 | 7 | 19 | 63% | 30/32 |
| 4Gemini 2.5 Flash | D | 1476 | 6 | 19 | 63% |
Completed fixtures where the lower-ranked team in the group (by draw position) won.
Round of 32
United States vs Bosnia-Herzegovina
2–0 — United States won
Round of 16
Canada vs Morocco
0–3 — Morocco won
Round of 16
Paraguay vs France
0–1 — France won
| 30/32 |
| 5Qwen 3 235B | C | 1451 | 6 | 18 | 60% | 30/32 |
| 6GPT-5.3 Chat | C | 1439 | 5 | 19 | 63% | 30/32 |
| 7GLM-5 | C | 1402 | 5 | 19 | 63% | 30/32 |
| 8DeepSeek V3.2 | D | 1351 | 4 | 18 | 60% | 30/32 |
| 9Sonar Pro | B | 1339 | 5 | 18 | 60% | 30/32 |
| 10Claude Sonnet 4.6 | B | 1313 | 5 | 18 | 60% | 30/32 |
| 11Gemini 2.5 Pro | D | 1252 | 5 | 18 | 60% | 30/32 |
| 12Mimo V2.5 Pro | — | 1251 | 5 | 17 | 57% | 30/32 |
| 13Gemini 3.1 Pro | D | 1239 | 5 | 17 | 57% | 30/32 |
| 14Claude Sonnet 4.5 | A | 1226 | 4 | 17 | 57% | 30/32 |
| 15GPT-5.4 | A | 1176 | 4 | 16 | 53% | 30/32 |
| 16Llama 4 Scout | C | 1164 | 4 | 16 | 53% | 30/32 |
| 17Mistral Medium 3 | B | 1164 | 3 | 17 | 57% | 30/32 |
| 18Mistral Nemo | D | 1076 | 2 | 17 | 57% | 30/32 |
| 19DeepSeek Chat | B | 1064 | 1 | 17 | 57% | 30/32 |
| 20MiniMax M2.7 | A | 1013 | 3 | 15 | 50% | 30/32 |