Compare predictions

Side-by-side knockout scorelines for WC Knockout. Blue = Gemini 3 Flash, violet = Claude Opus 4.6.

Model 1

Model 2

Gemini 3 FlashPool A

1614

Points

Exact

67%

Outcome

Claude Opus 4.6Pool C

1614

Points

Exact

67%

Outcome

Head-to-head

Fixtures compared

Same outcome

Disagreements

Identical scorelines

Fixture comparison

3rd Place

#31 France vs EnglandJul 18, 9:00 PMDisagree

Gemini 3 Flash

2–3

France (H) · England (A)

Claude Opus 4.6

2–1

France (H) · England (A)

Final

#32 Spain vs ArgentinaJul 19, 7:00 PMAgree

Gemini 3 Flash

2–1

Spain (H) · Argentina (A)

Claude Opus 4.6

2–1

Spain (H) · Argentina (A)

Quarterfinals

#25 France vs MoroccoJul 9, 8:00 PMActual: 2–0Disagree

Gemini 3 Flash

1–2

France (H) · Morocco (A)

Claude Opus 4.6

2–1

France (H) · Morocco (A)

+75 pts

#26 Spain vs BelgiumJul 10, 7:00 PMActual: 2–1Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

2–1

Spain (H) · Belgium (A)

+150 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

2–1

Spain (H) · Belgium (A)

+150 pts

#27 Norway vs EnglandJul 11, 9:00 PMActual: 1–2Disagree

Gemini 3 Flash

2–1

Norway (H) · England (A)

Claude Opus 4.6

1–2

Norway (H) · England (A)

+150 pts

#28 Argentina vs SwitzerlandJul 12, 1:00 AMActual: 3–1Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

0–1

Argentina (H) · Switzerland (A)

Claude Opus 4.6

1–2

Argentina (H) · Switzerland (A)

Round of 16

#17 Canada vs MoroccoJul 4, 5:00 PMActual: 0–3Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

1–2

Canada (H) · Morocco (A)

+63 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

0–2

Canada (H) · Morocco (A)

+63 pts

#18 Paraguay vs FranceJul 4, 9:00 PMActual: 0–1Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

3–2

Paraguay (H) · France (A)

Claude Opus 4.6

2–1

Paraguay (H) · France (A)

#19 Brazil vs NorwayJul 5, 8:00 PMActual: 1–2Disagree

Gemini 3 Flash

1–2

Brazil (H) · Norway (A)

+125 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

1–0

Brazil (H) · Norway (A)

#20 Mexico vs EnglandJul 6, 12:00 AMActual: 2–3Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

0–2

Mexico (H) · England (A)

+63 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

1–2

Mexico (H) · England (A)

+63 pts

#21 Portugal vs SpainJul 6, 7:00 PMActual: 0–1Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

1–0

Portugal (H) · Spain (A)

Claude Opus 4.6

2–1

Portugal (H) · Spain (A)

#22 United States vs BelgiumJul 7, 12:00 AMActual: 1–4Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

1–2

United States (H) · Belgium (A)

+63 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

0–1

United States (H) · Belgium (A)

+63 pts

#23 Argentina vs EgyptJul 7, 4:00 PMActual: 3–2Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

0–2

Argentina (H) · Egypt (A)

Claude Opus 4.6

1–2

Argentina (H) · Egypt (A)

#24 Switzerland vs ColombiaJul 7, 8:00 PMActual: 0–0Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

0–2

Switzerland (H) · Colombia (A)

Claude Opus 4.6

0–3

Switzerland (H) · Colombia (A)

Round of 32

#1 South Africa vs CanadaJun 28, 7:00 PMActual: 0–1Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

1–2

South Africa (H) · Canada (A)

+50 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

0–2

South Africa (H) · Canada (A)

+50 pts

#2 Brazil vs JapanJun 29, 5:00 PMActual: 2–1Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

3–1

Brazil (H) · Japan (A)

+50 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

2–1

Brazil (H) · Japan (A)

+100 pts

#3 Germany vs ParaguayJun 29, 8:30 PMActual: 1–1Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

2–0

Germany (H) · Paraguay (A)

Claude Opus 4.6

3–0

Germany (H) · Paraguay (A)

#4 Netherlands vs MoroccoJun 30, 1:00 AMActual: 1–1Disagree

Gemini 3 Flash

2–1

Netherlands (H) · Morocco (A)

Claude Opus 4.6

1–2

Netherlands (H) · Morocco (A)

#5 Ivory Coast vs NorwayJun 30, 5:00 PMActual: 1–2Disagree

Gemini 3 Flash

1–2

Ivory Coast (H) · Norway (A)

+100 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

2–1

Ivory Coast (H) · Norway (A)

#6 France vs SwedenJun 30, 9:00 PMActual: 3–0Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

3–0

France (H) · Sweden (A)

+100 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

3–1

France (H) · Sweden (A)

+50 pts

#7 Mexico vs EcuadorJul 1, 1:00 AMActual: 2–0Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

2–1

Mexico (H) · Ecuador (A)

+50 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

1–0

Mexico (H) · Ecuador (A)

+50 pts

#8 England vs Congo DRJul 1, 4:00 PMActual: 2–1Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

4–0

England (H) · Congo DR (A)

+50 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

3–0

England (H) · Congo DR (A)

+50 pts

#9 Belgium vs SenegalJul 1, 8:00 PMActual: 3–2Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

2–1

Belgium (H) · Senegal (A)

+50 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

1–0

Belgium (H) · Senegal (A)

+50 pts

#10 United States vs Bosnia-HerzegovinaJul 2, 12:00 AMActual: 2–0Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

2–0

United States (H) · Bosnia-Herzegovina (A)

+100 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

2–0

United States (H) · Bosnia-Herzegovina (A)

+100 pts

#11 Spain vs AustriaJul 2, 7:00 PMActual: 3–0Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

3–1

Spain (H) · Austria (A)

+50 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

2–0

Spain (H) · Austria (A)

+50 pts

#12 Portugal vs CroatiaJul 2, 11:00 PMActual: 2–1Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

2–1

Portugal (H) · Croatia (A)

+100 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

2–1

Portugal (H) · Croatia (A)

+100 pts

#13 Switzerland vs AlgeriaJul 3, 3:00 AMActual: 2–0Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

1–0

Switzerland (H) · Algeria (A)

+50 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

1–0

Switzerland (H) · Algeria (A)

+50 pts

#14 Australia vs EgyptJul 3, 6:00 PMActual: 1–1Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

0–1

Australia (H) · Egypt (A)

Claude Opus 4.6

1–2

Australia (H) · Egypt (A)

#15 Argentina vs Cape VerdeJul 3, 10:00 PMActual: 3–2Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

4–0

Argentina (H) · Cape Verde (A)

+50 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

4–0

Argentina (H) · Cape Verde (A)

+50 pts

#16 Colombia vs GhanaJul 4, 1:30 AMActual: 1–0Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

2–1

Colombia (H) · Ghana (A)

+50 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

2–1

Colombia (H) · Ghana (A)

+50 pts

Semifinals

#29 France vs SpainJul 14, 7:00 PMActual: 0–2Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

1–2

France (H) · Spain (A)

+100 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

1–2

France (H) · Spain (A)

+100 pts

#30 England vs ArgentinaJul 15, 7:00 PMActual: 1–2Agree

Gemini 3 Flash

1–2

England (H) · Argentina (A)

+200 pts

Claude Opus 4.6

1–2

England (H) · Argentina (A)

+200 pts